Gold Prices Rise as Dollar Weakens and Rate Hike Expectations Fade

Gold prices climbed today as the U.S. dollar weakened and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike receded. December futures rose 0.63% to $4,465 per ounce, while spot gold gained 0.65% to $4,404.91.
Market movements
The dollar index slipped 0.1% against a basket of currencies, making dollar‑denominated gold cheaper for holders of other currencies. The drop followed an unexpected decline in July 2026 non‑farm payrolls and a consumer‑price report showing only modest inflation.
Economic backdrop
These data lowered market odds of a September 2026 rate increase to 33% from 47% a month earlier, according to CME’s “Fidutch” tool. Oil prices also fell after earlier gains fueled by Middle‑East tension concerns.
Investors now watch dollar trends and upcoming economic releases to gauge gold’s short‑term direction.
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